Walter Youngquist
(1921 - 2018)

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of 2022 edition

    


FROM THE FOREWORD TO THE 2022 EDITION:

"... GeoDestinies is a treasure. Readers of this second edition, as with the first, are in for a powerful, overwhelming, mind-expanding experience. This book will sharply redefine your perception of reality. It presents an astonishing assortment of fascinating facts and ideas, while dispelling many widely believed illusions. Civilized life as we know it has an expiration date. Walter Youngquist shows us why." — Charles A.S. Hall and Richard Adrian Reese


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DESCRIPTION (of both the original 1997 and 2022 editions):

The Earth's mineral riches are distributed unevenly over the globe, and this has tremendous effects on the human condition. Different regions have achieved great power and affluence with the development of resources, from water and fertile soil to oil and high-tech metals. What will happen to these economies as the resources are depleted? This unique volume presents and analyzes essential data on energy and mineral resources and population issues of concern to sociologists, geologists, ecologists, economists, policymakers, futurists, and political scientists.


AMAZON REVIEW BY ALICE FRIEDEMANN, peak oil analyst and author of When Trucks Stop Running: Energy and the Future of Transportation and Life after Fossil Fuels:



AMAZON REVIEW BY RICHARD ADRIAN REESE, author of Understanding Sustainability:

REVIEW BY REESE continues ...

... It is widely understood that we are rapidly depleting the most precious mineral complex of all, the one that enables life on Earth: topsoil. Sustainable societies do not need gold, diamonds, iron, or oil. All forms of mining are the opposite of sustainable, including soil mining. Dirt is created so slowly that, from a human perspective, it's essentially nonrenewable. The problems associated with soil destruction are widely understood, and widely disregarded. Soil conservation is simply not the path to short-term wealth creation, and wealth is all that matters in this civilization.

Two hundred years ago, the world was an immense treasure chest of resources. They seemed to be infinite. We were certain that economic growth could continue forever. We were wrong. But this fantasy has deep roots, and remains alive and well to this very day. Our highly educated ruling elites continue to be obsessed with the notion of encouraging growth by any means necessary.

The industrial production of oil began in 1859. Since then, the quantity of new oil that was discovered every year increased until 1962. Following this peak, new discoveries have been on a downward curve. Each year, less new oil is found, and what we're finding is more and more expensive to extract, hence the rising prices at the pump. The era of cheap fossil energy is over, forever.

Meanwhile, the consumption of oil continues to grow, as more and more cars take to the road. Most of the oil that we consume today was discovered before 1973. Many believe that world oil production peaked in 2005. This level of production cannot be continued for long, and it is certain to proceed into an irreversible decline. Alternative energy sources will never be able to replace the energy we now get from fossil fuels, or even come close.

Youngquist is one of the grandfathers who revealed the Peak Oil story to the world. I began corresponding with him in 1996. At that point in time, the concept of Peak Oil was a mad theory from the farthest regions of the lunatic fringe. Almost nobody understood what you were talking about, and very few agreed. Seventeen years later, far more people have a rudimentary understanding of the issue, and it has become acceptable for dignified people to privately discuss it on rare occasions. What is spooky is that this learning process has resulted in almost no significant changes in our goals, values, or way of life. (Neither has our growing understanding of climate change.)

Youngquist's lifetime has been an era of technological miracles — radio, TV, air travel, moon landings, computers, antibiotics, and so on. Like most people, he perceives this to be a high standard of living, one that is beneficial and desirable. At the same time, he is acutely aware that his lifetime has been an era of ecological catastrophes. When he was born, the world population was less than two billion. It's heartbreaking to observe the catastrophic effects of population more than tripling in your lifetime. So much has been destroyed.

I wish that living the American dream was ecologically harmless, but it isn't. We can't have both sustainability and technological wonders. We have a responsibility to leave the planet in no worse shape than we found it, or better.

Youngquist clearly understands the meaning of genuine sustainability. It means "capable of being kept going on an indefinite basis — not until the end of the week, or the end of the decade, or even the end of the next century, but indefinitely." He clearly understands that a sustainable population is far, far less than seven-point-something billion. He clearly understands that the only sustainable form of energy is sunlight. He understands that a sustainable future is inevitable, because only the sustainable can endure. We could get there faster, causing less harm, if we made this our goal. I wish we would.

It would also be wise to seriously reassess the meaning of a high standard of living. Today, this notion implies a lifestyle that has enormous costs, and causes enormous harm. Is it an oxymoron? Is there real value in a high standard of living that is the opposite of sustainable? We have no easy answers.

For many thousands of years, nomads wandered across the Arabian Peninsula, never tormented by a powerful urge to extract the billions of dollars of oil stored underground. It never occurred to them. They had what they needed, their lives were perfectly fine, and their ecosystem enjoyed robust good health. I sense that we will find the path to salvation on the day that we can perceive this elegant simplicity to be the genuine high standard of living.



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